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Well, that's not to say that they won't be $200k 3.5 years from now. :) The price remains mostly speculation atm. But that could be said about a lot of investments. If we are still talking about bitcoin four years on, it's likely that we will be at modest global adoption. It's difficult to see how if even 10% of the folk that have email accounts now have BTC then, the price can't increase substantially. They are crazy numbers, but so is the concept of global adoption.